Documentation
This page contains the documentation for the TYN CY 3.0 data-set, and comprises:
Data
4th August 2003
The reference for this data-set has been updated to: Mitchell, T.D., Carter, T.R., Jones, P.D., Hulme,M., New, M., 2003: A comprehensive set of high-resolution grids of monthly climate for Europe and the globe: the observed record (1901-2000) and 16 scenarios (2001-2100). Journal of Climate: submitted.
9th May 2003
The second part of the TYN CY 3.0 data-set was released. There are now data files representing changes in climate over the course of the 21st century.
10th February 2003
The first part of the TYN CY 3.0 data-set was released, comprising (for each country) a graphic displaying the climate changes over the course of the 21st century.
Introduction
The data set described
here provides a summary of some of the possible changes in climate that may
be experienced during the 21st century in 289 countries and territories.
The purposes for
which this data-set are relevant differ from the purposes of the observed data-set
(TYN
CY 1.0).
The primary purpose here is to permit an assessment to be made of the plausible
extent of climate change over the 21st century, driven by anthropogenic emissions
of greenhouse gases and sulphur dioxide. It is reasonable to do this at the
spatial scale of individual countries because the spatial scales at which climate
change may occur (as measured here) are much larger than the spatial scales
of the climate itself (as measured in the observed data-set.)
However, a number of caveats should be noted.
All users of this data-set ought to reflect upon a number of limitations to this
data-set:
Data Manipulation
Mitchell, T.D., Carter, T.R., Jones, P.D., Hulme,M., New, M., 2003: A comprehensive set of high-resolution grids of monthly climate for Europe and the globe: the observed record (1901-2000) and 16 scenarios (2001-2100). Journal of Climate: submitted.
Disclaimer
Data Processing
Models
The different forms in which the data are available are specified at the top of this page. The data is all given in the form of anomalies in the 2080s (2071-2100), compared to 1961-90. This data may be modified by the user as follows:
Ownership
The creator of this data
set (Dr. T. D. Mitchell) retains full ownership rights over it. The data set may
be freely used for non-commerical scientific and educational purposes, provided
it is described as TYN CY 3.0 and attributed to:
The author bears no
responsibility for the accuracy of the data set. The countries listed below
include a variety of sovereign states, dependent territories, and disputed territories.
No political statement is being made by the inclusion or exclusion of a particular
territory, or by the labelling of a particular territory by a particular name.
This data-set is based on the TYN
SC 2.0 0.5 degree gridded data-set. For details of the construction of the grids, refer to the TYN SC 2.0 documentation.
We used the allocation of grid cells to individual countries developed
for the observed data (see below) to aggregate grid cells into countries.
The method of allocating countries was as follows. We assigned each box to a
single country. For each country we calculated the weighted mean of the values
from its constituent grid boxes for each month in turn. Each grid box was weighted
by surface area, using the cosine of the latitude. For further information see
the paper published in Area (electronic version here).
The four climate models
used here are the set of models used by the IPCC (2001) in the Third Assessment
Working Group 1 Report. Further details about the individual models may be obtained
from that report (Tables 8.1 and 9.1).
model
short
IPCC number
CGCM2
CCCma
7
CSIRO mk 2
CSIRO2
10
DOE PCM
PCM
30
HadCM3
UKMO
23