Documentation
This page contains the documentation for the TYN CY 2.0 data-set, and comprises:
Data
The TYN CY 2.0 data-set itself may be accessed by country (graphics included), or by climate variable.
There are also examples of published academic work that use the country climate data-sets. Other relevant data-sets, including other country data-sets, may be found under Data.
10th February 2003
1. A table is available, accessible via 'Data' on the left frame, that summarises the full range of data-sets available.
2. A new country-by-country climate data-set has been added, presenting information on modelled
climate changes during the 21st century. See TYN CY 3.0.
21st
August 2002
The Climatic Research Unit and the Tyndall Centre are currently re-organising
the dissemination of data-sets. As part of this re-organisation, related data-sets
are being labelled under a consistent scheme of acronyms. We urge users of these
data-sets to use these acronyms wherever possible, to enable the data-sets that
they have used to be identified clearly and unambiguously. This data-set is
now labelled TYN CY 2.0.
19th August 2002
1. A page has been added giving
examples of published academic work that uses the country climate data-sets.
I welcome the opportunity to add details of your work (see the page for details)!
2. I have added an electronic
version of the paper describing the observed country climate data, which
was published in a peer-reviewed journal called Area.
23rd May 2002
Data-set released giving an indication of future climate changes for individual
countries. This new data-set has not yet been approved by the IPCC-DDC; therefore
it does not constitute part of the IPCC-DDC website, nor is it recommended for
use by the IPCC-DDC, unlike the observed data in TYN
CL 1.0.
Introduction
The data set described
here provides a summary of some of the possible changes in climate that may
be experienced during the 21st century in 289 countries and territories.
The purposes for
which this data-set are relevant differ from the purposes of the observed data-set
(TYN
CL 1.0).
The primary purpose here is to permit an assessment to be made of the plausible
extent of climate change over the 21st century, driven by anthropogenic emissions
of greenhouse gases and sulphur dioxide. It is reasonable to do this at the
spatial scale of individual countries because the spatial scales at which climate
change may occur (as measured here) are much larger than the spatial scales
of the climate itself (as measured in the observed data-set.)
However, a number of caveats should be noted.
This data-set may also be used in the trans-boundary research for which the observed
data-set is intended, and we provide this data-set in a form that makes this application
convenient. In particular, we note that in the context of trans-boundary research
it is reasonable to combine the climate changes (relative to 1961-90) presented
here with the observed climatology (for 1961-90) presented in the observed data-set,
and to thus obtain scenarios for the absolute temperature and precipitation
at the end of the 21st century, not just the changes presented here.
All users of this data-set ought to reflect upon a number of limitations to this
data-set:
Data Structure
The information is
available for each country in two forms: as a graphic file (.pdf) and as a data
file (.txt). These files are presented in a
table, with the data files ordered alphabetically by country.
To make it easier to combine this data-set with the observed data-set in trans-boundary studies, the same data-set is also available with all the countries in consolidated files, presented in a different table.
Disclaimer
The author bears no
responsibility for the accuracy of the data set. The countries listed below
include a variety of sovereign states, dependent territories, and disputed territories.
No political statement is being made by the inclusion or exclusion of a particular
territory, or by the labelling of a particular territory by a particular name.
Data Processing
The original data were
provided to Dr. Richard Jones (Hadley Centre) on each model's native grid. Dr.
Jones regridded the data to a common grid (144 cells longitudinally, 73 cells
latitudinally). This author then regridded the data onto a 0.5 degree grid.
We then used the allocation of grid cells to individual countries developed
for the observed data (see below) to aggregate grid cells into countries.
The method of allocating countries was as follows. We assigned each box to a
single country. For each country we calculated the weighted mean of the values
from its constituent grid boxes for each month in turn. Each grid box was weighted
by surface area, using the cosine of the latitude. For further information see
the paper published in Area (electronic version here).
Models
The nine climate models
used here are the set of models used by the IPCC (2001) in the Third Assessment
Working Group 1 Report. Further details about the individual models may be obtained
from that report (Tables 8.1 and 9.1).
model | short | IPCC number |
CGCM2 | CCCma | 7 |
CSIRO mk 2 | CSIRO2 | 10 |
CSM 1.3 | CSM | 12 |
ECHam4 | DMI | 15 |
GFDL R15 b | GFDL | 17 |
MRI2 | MRI2 | 27 |
CCSR/NIES 2 | NIES | 31 |
DOE PCM | PCM | 30 |
HadCM3 | UKMO | 23 |