Scientific publications

See also my publications aimed at the general public.


High-resolution grids. High-resolution grids of observed (20th century) and future (21st century) climate.
This paper was submitted in July 2003.
Mitchell, T.D., Carter, T.R., Jones, P.D., Hulme,M., New, M., 2003: A comprehensive set of high-resolution grids of monthly climate for Europe and the globe: the observed record (1901-2000) and 16 scenarios (2001-2100). Journal of Climate: submitted.

The pattern scaling technique. This technique is used in describing future climates.
Peer-reviewed research article (abstract). The conditions of publications do not permit me to place a copy of the article on the web.
Mitchell, T. D., 2003: Pattern scaling: an examination of the accuracy of the technique for describing future climates. Climatic Change 60 (3): 217-242

Water and climate. The publication addresses climate change and variability for an intended audience of water managers. The chapter for which I was lead author summarises the relevant climate information, and therefore may be of interest to a wider audience.
Consensus review chaper in consensus report
Mitchell, T. D. (editor) 2003: Brief overview of the science on water and climate. In Kabat, P., Schulze, R.E., Hellmuth, M.E., Veraart, J.A. (editors) 2003: Coping with impacts of climate variability and climate change in water management: a scoping paper. DWC-Report no. DWCSSO-01. International Secretariat of the Dialogue on Water and Climate, Wageningen, Netherlands.

Regional warming and malaria resurgence. A refutation of a prior Nature paper that inappropriately used a climate data-set that I maintain, and that consequently drew false deductions about the existence of climate change in East Africa, and the relationship between malaria and climate.
Peer-reviewed research article (paper)
Patz,J.A., Hulme,M., Rosenzweig,C., Mitchell,T.D., Goldberg,R.A., Githeko,A.K., Lele,S., McMichael,A.J., Le Sueur,D., 2002: Regional warming and malaria resurgence. Nature 420:627-628

Climate data for political areas; the paper describes the compilation of gridded observational data into a country-by-country climate data-set

Peer-reviewed research article (paper)

Mitchell, T. D., Hulme, M., and New, M., 2002: Climate data for political areas. Area 34:109-112


European high-resolution climate grids.
ATEAM project poster
Mitchell, T. D., 2002: personal communication. Paper in preparation.

Length of the thermal growing season in Central England. Latest chart (up to 2002).
Letter to the editor, communicating scientific results (paper)
Mitchell, T. D., and Hulme, M., 2002: Length of the growing season. Weather 57: 196-198.

Climate change scenarios for the UK.
Scientific report produced for the UK government (paper available from UK-CIP)
Hulme, M., et al 2002: Climate change scenarios for the United Kingdom. Tyndall Centre, UK.

Comparison of countries in climate change issues. This includes comparisons of past and future rates of warming, together with present GDP and carbon emissions.
Research article (paper, climate data available under Data)
Mitchell, T. D. and Hulme, M., 2000: A Country-by-Country Analysis of Past and Future Warming Rates. Tyndall Centre Internal Report No. 1, November 2000, UEA, Norwich UK, 6pp.

The pattern scaling technique. This technique is used in describing future climates.
PhD thesis (abstract)
Mitchell, T. D., 2000: An investigation of the pattern scaling technique for describing future climates. Unpublished PhD thesis, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK.

Review of the climate prediction problem.
Review article (paper)
Mitchell, T. D. and Hulme, M., 1999: Predicting regional climate change: living with uncertainty. Progress in Physical Geography 23(1): 57-78.